Weixin Cai | 蔡 伟鑫

CV | PhilPapers | Email: weixincai@ln.edu.hk

I am a Postdoctoral Fellow in the Department of Philosophy at Lingnan University, where I work with Darrell Rowbottom on the research project The Philosophy of Contemporary and Future Science. My research lies primarily in general philosophy of science, philosophy of AI, and philosophy of social science. I also have additional interests in metaphysics, ethics, and metaphilosophy. I have been a visiting researcher at Kyoto University, the University of Cambridge, and Durham University.

I received my PhD in Philosophy from the University of California San Diego in 2026, under the supervision of Nancy Cartwright and David Danks. Other members of my dissertation committee include Kerry McKenzie, Karen Kovaka and Stephan Haggard (Political Science). Before that, I received a BA and an MA in Philosophy from Renmin University of China, as well as an MA in Philosophy from Simon Fraser University.

Currently, I’m working on projects concerning causal and explanatory diversity in science, the prospects and challenges of using AI in science and in humanities, theoretical virtues in science and in metaphysics, and causal approaches to topics such as scientific progress.

Publications

In English

Causal-Structural Explanation (with Zili Dong), Philosophy of Science, to be published in a supplemental volume in 2027.

Abstract: The received view holds that to causally explain a phenomenon is to provide information about its relevant causes. This view is ambiguous as to whether an explanation is causal primarily because of (a) the explanans it cites or (b) the dependence relation it posits between the explanatory relata. These options diverge on whether causal-structural explanations should count as causal explanations. To show this, we analyze the explanatory pattern of such explanations and argue that they have a dual nature: while the explanans provides causal information to account for the explanandum, the explanandum nevertheless non-causally depends on the explanans.

Simpson’s Paradox Beyond Confounding (with Zili Dong and Shimin Zhao), European Journal for Philosophy of Science, 2024.

Abstract: Simpson’s paradox (SP) is a statistical phenomenon where the association between two variables reverses, disappears, or emerges, after conditioning on a third variable. It has been proposed (by, e.g., Judea Pearl) that SP should be analyzed using the framework of graphical causal models (i.e., causal DAGs) in which SP is diagnosed as a symptom of confounding bias. This paper contends that this confounding-based analysis cannot fully capture SP: there are cases of SP that cannot be explained away in terms of confounding. Previous works have argued that some cases of SP do not require causal analysis at all. Despite being a logically valid counterexample, we argue that this type of cases poses only a limited challenge to Pearl’s analysis of SP. In our view, a more powerful challenge to Pearl comes from cases of SP that do require causal analysis but can arise without confounding. We demonstrate with examples that accidental associations due to genetic drift, the use of inappropriate aggregate variables as causes, and interactions between units (i.e., inter-unit causation) can all give rise to SP of this type. The discussion is also extended to the amalgamation paradox (of which SP is a special form) which can occur due to the use of non-collapsible association measures, in the absence of confounding.

Causal Exclusion and Causal Autonomism, Frontiers of Philosophy in China, 2018. (Invited contribution as the best essay award at the 3rd Beijing Analytic Philosophy Conference.)

Abstract: The causal exclusion problem is often considered as one of the major difficulties for which non-reductive physicalists have no easy solution to offer. Some non-reductive physicalists address this problem by arguing that mental properties are to some extent causally autonomous. If this is the case, then mental properties will not be causally excluded by their physical realizers because causation, in general, is a relation between properties of the same level. In this paper, I argue that the response from causal autonomy cannot be successful for two reasons. First, it does not offer a satisfactory explanation for how mental particulars can have causal efficacy in a non-reductive physicalist framework. Second, the causal considerations underpinning this response do not really support the conclusion that mental properties are causally autonomous.

In Chinese

Can Large Language Models Provide Reliable Virtual Subjects for Experimental Philosophy?, Studies in Philosophy of Science and Technology, (大语言模型能否为实验哲学提供可靠的虚拟被试?,《科学技术哲学研究》), forthcoming.

Abstract: Experimental philosophy provides empirical evidence for philosophical discussions by collecting the folk’s intuitive judgments about philosophical thought experiments. However, many studies in mainstream experimental philosophy have limitations in their sample quality. The use of virtual subjects generated by large language models in social sciences suggests the possibility of extending this approach to experimental philosophy. When virtual subjects are used to simulate the intuitive judgments that human subjects would make about philosophical thought experiments, they function in effect as an indirect measure of folk philosophical intuitions. Accordingly, only if virtual subjects achieve sufficient measurement quality can their advantages in sample size and sample composition genuinely help alleviate the methodological limitations of mainstream experimental philosophy. To this end, this paper proposes an evaluation framework encompassing reliability, validity, and robustness, and uses it to empirically assess the measurement quality of virtual subjects generated by current mainstream large language models.

Simplicity: A Secondary Ultimate Cognitive Value for Non-Ideal Cognitive Agents, Journal of Dialectics of Nature, (简单性:非理想认知主体的次要终极认知价值,《自然辩证法通讯》), 2026.

Abstract: Simplicity is widely recognized as a theoretical virtue in science. According to cognitivism, simplicity can justify theory choice in scientific practice because it is a cognitive value. The mainstream cognitivist account maintains that the cognitive value of simplicity consists primarily in its role as evidence for the truth of a theory. This paper argues that the mainstream cognitivist account faces intractable theoretical difficulties. It then offers an alternative cognitivist account that better captures the cognitive significance of simplicity. According to this new cognitivist account, the crucial form of simplicity in scientific practice is in fact “cognitive simplicity,” which serves as one of the ultimate cognitive values pursued by human scientists in virtue of their nature as non-ideal cognitive agents. This account not only allows cognitivists to avoid the difficulties faced by the mainstream cognitivist account, but also offers a more robust ground for the cognitive value of simplicity in science, which makes it a more attractive theoretical option.

Determinism as a Stance, Journal of Dialectics of Nature, (作为立场的决定论,《自然辩证法通讯》), 2025.

Abstract: Determinism is typically understood as a philosophical proposition about the causal order of the world. However, both global determinism, the view that events in all domains are determined by antecedent events, and local determinism, the view that only events in certain domains are determined by antecedent events, face serious theoretical challenges. Rather than trying to address these challenges while preserving determinism as a proposition, one simpler yet more effective response for advocates of determinism is to deny that determinism is essentially a philosophical proposition about the causal order of the world. Van Fraassen argues that some philosophical positions, including empiricism, should be understood not as propositions aiming to describe objective facts, but as philosophical stances that agents can adopt. Re-examined from this perspective, determinism can be understood as a philosophical stance that agents can adopt. Specifically, it is an attitude in which one defaults to assuming the existence of a deterministic causal explanation for an event unless there are compelling reasons to reject this assumption, and actively seeks such an explanation when necessary.

Teaching

As primary instructor:

  • Philosophy of Science (UC San Diego)

As teaching assistant:

  • Philosophy of Social Science (UC San Diego)
  • Topics in Metaphysics (UC San Diego)
  • Climate Ethics (UC San Diego)
  • Ethics and Society × 6 (UC San Diego)
  • Introduction to Logic × 3 (UC San Diego)
  • Critical Thinking × 4 (Simon Fraser University)
  • Introduction to Logic and Reasoning × 3 (Simon Fraser University)
  • Introduction to Philosophy (Simon Fraser University)